Hargeisa, Somaliland| For decades, the self-declared Republic of Somaliland has operated as a de facto state, carving out a stable and democratic enclave in a region often fraught with conflict.
Despite declaring independence from Somalia in 1991, Somaliland remains unrecognized internationally, a status that many of its citizens hope could change with the involvement of former U.S. President Donald Trump.
“Donald is our savior. He is a wise and practical man. God bless America,” exclaims Aisha Ismail, a university student in Hargeisa.
Her words reflect the optimism shared by many Somalilanders, who see Trump’s reputation as a pragmatic dealmaker as an opportunity for their decades-long quest for international recognition.
A 33-Year Quest for Recognition
Since breaking away from Somalia after a brutal civil war, Somaliland has built its own government, military, and institutions.
Its relative peace and democratic processes stand in stark contrast to the instability and violence that have plagued much of Somalia.
Yet, the lack of formal recognition has hindered its ability to secure international aid and participate in global diplomacy.
For Somalilanders, the Trump administration’s America-first approach and transactional style of diplomacy provide a glimmer of hope.
“Trump’s straightforward way of dealing with issues could work in our favor,” says Abdikarim Ahmed, a political analyst in Hargeisa.
Resistance from Mogadishu
However, Somaliland’s aspirations face fierce opposition from Somalia’s federal government in Mogadishu, which considers Somaliland an integral part of its territory.
“I doubt Donald Trump knows what Somaliland is, never mind where it is,” remarks Abdi Mohamud, a data analyst in Mogadishu.
Somalia’s State Minister, Ali Mohamed Omar, warns of potential regional instability if the U.S. were to recognize Somaliland.
“Any move toward recognizing Somaliland’s independence would not only contravene Somalia’s sovereignty but also destabilize the region by setting a dangerous precedent,” he cautions.
Mogadishu’s concerns reflect the broader fear that acknowledging Somaliland’s independence could inspire other separatist movements in Africa and beyond, complicating regional geopolitics.
Republican Push for Recognition
Amid these tensions, Republican lawmakers in the U.S. are increasingly championing Somaliland’s cause.
Congressman Scott Perry has introduced bills advocating for formal recognition, arguing that Somaliland’s stability and strategic location make it a valuable ally for the United States.
The Heritage Foundation, a conservative think tank, has also thrown its weight behind Somaliland’s bid.
In its “Project 2025” policy blueprint, the foundation recommends recognizing Somaliland as a strategic partner to counter China’s growing influence in the Horn of Africa.
“The case for Somaliland in U.S. terms is very compelling,” asserts Joshua Meservey, a senior policy analyst and vocal advocate for Somaliland.
“This is not just about moral responsibility; it’s a transactional opportunity that aligns with U.S. interests.”
A Strategic Ally in the Horn of Africa
Positioned along key maritime routes and sharing borders with volatile regions, Somaliland’s location is of strategic significance.
Its Berbera Port offers a potential hub for U.S. military and commercial operations, providing a counterbalance to Chinese investments in neighboring Djibouti.
“Somaliland has demonstrated its commitment to democracy and good governance,” says Meservey.
“Recognizing it as an independent state would not only reward its progress but also strengthen U.S. influence in a region where China and other powers are vying for dominance.”
Hope and Uncertainty
While the Trump administration’s potential involvement has stirred optimism, the path to recognition remains fraught with challenges.
Diplomatic norms, international law, and the risk of regional instability all weigh heavily on the decision-making process.
For Somalilanders like Aisha Ismail, however, the possibility of U.S. recognition offers hope for a brighter future. “We’ve waited for 33 years,” she says. “Maybe this is finally our time.”
As Somaliland continues to lobby for its place on the world stage, the question remains: Will the U.S. seize the opportunity to recognize a stable, democratic partner, or will Somaliland’s dream of sovereignty remain out of reach?